(Monday market open)

 


After a rare quiet week of subdued and range-bound trading on Wall Street, the flood of data and central bank meetings begins tomorrow and has markets on edge. Investors will know more by Friday about the Federal Reserve's outlook for the economy, inflation, and interest rates.

The excitement starts with the May Consumer Price Index (CPI) report an hour before Tuesday’s opening bell. It's due out just as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) gathers for its two-day meeting. The Fed will release its decision on interest rates after lunch Wednesday, and market participants bake in high chances that rates will remain unchanged for the first time since early 2022.

The FOMC meeting also includes the Fed's first projections for future rates and the economy since March. Eyes will be on the so-called dot-plot, which show's Fed officials' estimated rates for the end of coming years. The market had long predicted rate cuts this year, but those hopes vanished last month. Even so, stocks entered a new bull market late last week. Perhaps that's a sign that investors are somewhat comfortable with current high borrowing costs and the chance of rates staying higher for longer.

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