DAY TRADING
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Bonds endear to many
‘U.S. corporate bond spreads continue to tighten,’ says DataTrek The bond market is expressing confidence in company cash flows, flashing a sign of support for the stock market’s rally, according to DataTrek Research. “U.S. corporate bond spreads continue to tighten and are now essentially the same as 2017–2019,” said Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research, in a note emailed Monday. “That is a green light for further stock market gains.” Declining corporate bond spreads over comparable Treaurys signal rising confidence in future cash flows and earnings, said Colas. Both investment-grade and high-yield bonds have broadly seen their spreads tighten over the past few weeks to average levels seen in 2017–2019, when conditions in the economy were generally good, his note shows. Investment-grade spreads averaged 1.19 percentage points over Treasurys over that stretch, while junk bonds averaged 3.82 percentage points, according to Colas’s research. “This was a period of genera
Love small-Cap
Small-Cap Stocks Have Struggled. Here Are 6 Whose Time Has Come. Among companies up more than 300% this year is Carvana, known for its dozens of car vending machines and zero years of profitability. I’m not a futurist, but investors looking for the next powerful return driver beyond artificial intelligence might want to check out ball bearings and slushies. Small companies are due for a lift—maybe a yearslong one. Below are some top picks from a pair of money managers. It has been a suspiciously good year for an uncomfortably narrow group. The S&P 500SPX –0.06% index is up 18% year to date, and trades at 21 times this year’s projected earnings. Gains have overwhelmingly come from tech behemoths with early AI leads. Three have more than doubled this year: Nvidia NVDA –0.23% (ticker: NVDA), Meta Platforms META –1.83% (META), and Tesla TSLA +0.48% (TSLA). The rally should be broadening about now. But investors seem to have passed over sturdy, small companies and gone straight fo
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Check home policy
Double-digit premium hikes. Higher deductibles. New coverage limits. Drones to check the state of roofs and yards. Home insurers are insuring less and charging more as they try to claw their way back to profitability after losing money in five of the past six years, analysts and insurance agents say. “We’re seeing moves to put more of the risk back onto the homeowner, tougher underwriting restrictions and big rate increases,” said Lauren Menuey, a managing director at independent agency Goosehead Insurance. The higher-cost, lower-coverage trend extends well beyond Florida, California and other states prone to hurricanes, floods or wildfires, Menuey added. “I don’t think anywhere is safe from this right now,” she said. Losses for home-insurance companies continued to pile up in the first six months of this year. Storms, natural disasters, inflation and supply-chain snafus have sent claims spiraling, leaving many insurers still in the red despite sharp increases to premiums. “The res
Covid killed the Malls
WATERFORD, Conn.—Crystal Mall’s parking lots used to be so crowded that parents would line up to drop off their teenagers near one of the entrances rather than search for a spot. Now, the vast stretches of cracked pavement surrounding this 1980s-era regional mall on Connecticut’s coast have more weeds than cars. Valued by an appraiser at $153 million as recently as 2012, Crystal Mall sold in June for just over $9.5 million in a foreclosure auction. “To look at it now, it’s disheartening,” said Waterford’s top elected leader, First Selectman Rob Brule, who grew up in this working-class town and described the mall as the social centerpiece of his youth. Crystal Mall’s cut-rate sales price shows how rapidly the value of America’s regional malls has deteriorated in recent years due to changing shopping habits, competition from other retail and the rise of online shopping. Older, low-end malls are worth at least 50% and in some cases more than 70% less than they were when mall valuation
Fed affect you?
Federal Reserve could potentially affect individuals and the broader economy: Borrowing Costs: If the Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate, it can lead to higher borrowing costs for consumers and businesses. For example, if you have a variable-rate loan, like an adjustable-rate mortgage or a personal loan, your interest payments may increase, potentially impacting your monthly budget. Savings Interest: On the flip side, higher interest rates could lead to better returns on savings accounts and certificates of deposit (CDs). So, if you have money in savings, you may earn more interest. Investments: Higher interest rates can influence the stock market and other investment options. Some sectors may benefit from higher rates, while others may suffer. For example, high-interest rates might attract investors to bonds instead of riskier assets like stocks. Consumer Spending: Rising interest rates could dampen consumer spending. Higher costs of borrowing might discourage people
Here we go again.
The Federal Reserve announced Wednesday it had raised its key interest rate by 0.25% to as much as 5.5%, the highest level in 22 years, as it continues to fight persistent inflation in the U.S. economy. Though consumer prices have declined for 12 straight months, in June, consumer prices increased 3% year on year. Even though that's the lowest the annual inflation rate has been in more than two years, it's still too high for the Fed, which is looking to wrestle increases down to about 2%. By raising its interest rates, the Fed hopes to make borrowing and investing more expensive , thereby reducing overall demand for goods, services and labor in the economy. That effort can put the economy on a path toward a recession depending on a number of factors, but Fed Chair Jerome Powell has said from the beginning of the central bank's rate-hiking campaign that, even though there are no guarantees, he intended to avoid such an outcome. After Wednesday's interest rate anno
Only Technical Analysis
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Cars are buzzing.
GM Again Lifts Its Profit Outlook, Plans More Cost Cuts Automaker says buyers are willing to pay for pricier models, features General Motors GM 1.95%increase; green up pointing triangle raised its 2023 profit outlook for the second time this year, citing better-than-expected new-vehicle demand and car shoppers’ willingness to spring for pricey models and features. GM finance chief Paul Jacobson said the continued strength in the car market, along with signs of improving economic conditions, gave the automaker the confidence to boost pretax-profit guidance to $12 billion to $14 billion, from a previous target of $11 billion to $13 billion. At the same time, GM said it is looking to cut an additional $1 billion in fixed costs, atop $2 billion the company already had targeted, and said it also would spend less than planned on capital projects. It is a sign the automaker is mindful of mounting consumer pressures—including higher interest rates and inflation—despite the surprisingly stro
Earn with all going on
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Want a job?
The core of the American labor force is back. Americans between 25 and 54 years of age are either employed or looking for jobs at rates not seen in two decades, a trend helping to counter the exodus of older baby boomers from the workforce. Economists define that age range as in their prime working years—when most Americans are done with their formal education, aren’t ready to retire and tend to be most attached to the labor force. In the first months of the pandemic, nearly four million prime-age workers left the labor market, pushing participation in early 2020 to the lowest level since 1983—before women had become as much of a force in the workplace. Prime-age workers now exceed prepandemic levels by almost 2.2 million. That growth is taking a little heat out of the job market and could help the Federal Reserve’s efforts to tamp down inflation by keeping wage growth in check. 1970 '05 '10 '15 '75 '20 '80 '85 '90 '95 2000 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85
A straddle option
What we do. A straddle option is an advanced options trading strategy that involves buying both a call option and a put option with the same strike price and expiration date on the same underlying asset. This strategy is typically employed when the investor or trader expects significant price volatility in the underlying asset, but is uncertain about the direction of the price movement. By using a straddle, the trader can potentially profit from large price swings, regardless of whether the asset's price goes up or down. When you purchase a straddle, you're essentially paying a premium for the right to buy (call option) or sell (put option) the underlying asset at the same strike price, regardless of the future price movement. If the price moves significantly in one direction, you can exercise the corresponding option while letting the other option expire worthless. Example of a straddle option: Let's say you believe that a highly anticipated earnings report for Company XY
Big Change at twitter
Elon Musk said he plans to make Twitter’s signature blue bird fly away. “X.com now points to twitter.com,” Musk tweeted Sunday. “Interim X logo goes live later today.” The billionaire owner of Twitter signaled the change was coming in a series of tweets early Sunday, posting that Twitter would soon switch its longtime logo—the silhouette of a jovial blue bird—to an “X.” “Soon we shall bid adieu to the Twitter brand and, gradually, all the birds,” Musk wrote minutes after midnight ET Sunday. “It’s an exceptionally rare thing—in life or in business—that you get a second chance to make another big impression,” Twitter Chief Executive Linda Yaccarino tweeted Sunday. Yaccarino described X as including audio, video, messaging and banking capabilities. Musk has spoken before about his ambition to use Twitter as the foundation of a vision that he has described as “X.com” and an “everything app.” In March Musk said that he thought it was possible for his company “to become the biggest financi
New zero-day options
New zero-day options trend is captivating investors Day options, also known as day trading options, refer to the practice of buying and selling options contracts within the same trading day. An options contract gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price (the strike price) on or before a specified expiration date. In day options trading, traders open and close their options positions on the same day to take advantage of short-term price movements in the underlying asset or the options themselves. Day options trading can be more speculative and require a thorough understanding of options and the underlying market. Here's a simplified example of a same-day options trade: Let's say a trader believes the stock of Company XYZ, which is currently trading at $50 per share, will experience a significant price increase during the day due to a positive earnings announcement. The trader purchases a same-day call option co
Counter-Punch"
Hi, my favorite hobby is learning about World War 2. COMBAT! s.2 ep.22: "Counter-Punch" (1964)
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a brokered CD?
A brokered CD is a type of CD that is bought and sold through a brokerage firm rather than being held directly with a bank or credit union. Here's how it generally works: Brokerage firm involvement: With a brokered CD, you work with a brokerage firm that acts as an intermediary between you and various financial institutions. The brokerage firm facilitates the purchase and sale of CDs on your behalf. CD selection: The brokerage firm offers a range of CDs from different banks and credit unions. These CDs may vary in terms of interest rates, maturity dates, and other features. You can choose the CD that suits your investment objectives. Purchase process: When you decide to invest in a brokered CD, you place an order through your brokerage account. The brokerage firm uses its network to locate the best available CD offering for you. The CD is typically issued by a financial institution but held in "street name" by the brokerage firm. Maturity and interest payments: Like tra